A deep dive into the…
A2B1 Selection | Nov 17, 2025 | Kawasaki 900m Dirt
Divergence between objective AI data and subjective human insights.
A stable’s top pick receives a surprisingly low AI rating.
Can horses with poor recent results stage a comeback?
9
AI’s Overwhelming Favorite
Designated as the clear number one by AI, excelling in all key metrics. The combination of a strong AI index, a strategic distance reduction, and proven ability makes this horse the central figure.
45.6%
Win Rate
65.3%
Place Rate
217
Overall Score
11
The Human Intelligence Pick
Despite a modest 6th place AI rank, human factors signal a strong comeback. The stable is confident, and a jockey change to the highly-regarded Noritoshi Mikamimoto is a powerful indicator of winning intent.
3
The Great Paradox
Presents the biggest contradiction. The stable is supremely confident, marking it as their sole favorite (◎). However, AI ranks it dead last, questioning its absolute speed. A true test of momentum vs. metrics.
◎
Stable’s #1 Pick
vs.
11th
AI’s Last Place
4
High AI score but experts note a lack of growth. May be overvalued.
5
Training comment “starts fast” aligns perfectly with 900m sprint requirements.
8
A course specialist with a 100% top-3 finish rate at this distance.
| Gate | # | Horse Name | AI Rank | Stable | Training | Expert & Stable Summary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mentaimayo | 7th | ○ | ↗ | 2nd race after layoff. Intends to practice late sprint, not win. |
| 2 | 2 | Dayle Raptor | 8th | ○ | ↗ | Strengthened training but extension lacking. Wants to lead. |
| 3 | 3 | Makaze | 11th | ◎ | → | [Stable ◎] Stronger than margin. Looking forward. |
| 4 | 4 | Reverbello | 2nd | ○ | → | Improved, but some say “not as much growth as expected.” |
| 5 | 5 | Rino Destino | 3rd | ○ | → | Planned rotation. Should go fast from the start as per training. |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Sherry | 10th | ○ | → | Start is key. Less dash than before. |
| 6 | 7 | Quoress | 5th | △ | → | [Stable △] Dirt suitability is key. |
| 7 | 8 | Aika Cappuccino | 4th | ○ | → | Specialist at this distance (4 starts, 4 top-3 finishes). |
| 7 | 9 | Edono Phoenix | 1st | ○ | → | [AI 1st] Distance reduction is a plus. Strong recent form. |
| 8 | 10 | Level Four | 9th | ○ | → | 9 years old, but Kawasaki 900m suits. No difference in strength. |
| 8 | 11 | Harndorf | 6th | ○ | → | Improved after race, comeback expected with jockey Mikamimoto. |
This is a complex race with several valid interpretations. The winner could emerge from any of these distinct analytical viewpoints.
#9 Edono Phoenix is the data favorite with no apparent weaknesses.
#11 Harndorf has a strong chance due to jockey enhancement.
#3 Makaze’s momentum will be tested against AI’s speed rating.
#8 Aika Cappuccino is a threat due to absolute distance suitability.
For the final conclusion and recommended betting strategies, see the expert’s final predictions.View Final Expert Predictions