Race Prediction, Workout Evaluations & Noteworthy Longshots
This article provides a comprehensive analysis and prediction for the 2025 Daily Hai 2-Sai Stakes (GII), a crucial race for the upcoming classic season. It delves into the final workout evaluations and stable comments for the predicted “big three” contenders – Cavalrezzo, Candido, and Admire Quads – and identifies potential dark horses that could challenge them. The analysis is based on data from specialized racing publications.
Key Takeaways
- ▶The predicted odds suggest a clear “big three” lineup: Cavalrezzo, Candido, and Admire Quads.
- ▶With only 8 horses, the race will likely be a “finishing speed” contest, emphasizing explosive acceleration.
- ▶All three top contenders completed their final workouts with “horse-drawn ease,” indicating peak condition.
- ▶Galilea is highlighted as a potential longshot after a strong second-place finish despite interference.
1. Three Key Prediction Points
The 60th Daily Hai 2-Sai Stakes (GII), a significant race for the 2025 classic season, will be held at Kyoto Racecourse. This year’s race features a select field of 8 horses, making data analysis crucial. This article objectively analyzes the condition of all 8 runners based on specialized racing publication data.
Point 1: A Clear “Big Three” Structure
The predicted win odds highlight the top contenders. Cavalrezzo is the predicted favorite (2.6x odds), followed closely by Candido (3.2x odds) and Admire Quads (3.2x odds). There is a significant gap between these three and the 4th favorite, Good Peace (6.7x odds), indicating the market believes these three possess superior ability.
Point 2: Adaptability to a “Finishing Speed” Race
An 8-horse field typically leads to a more moderate pace, favoring horses with strong “finishing speed” (瞬発力 and 末脚). All leading contenders have shown high aptitude for explosive speed. The key is to determine which horse possesses the superior finishing speed on Kyoto’s outer course.
Point 3: Confidence Revealed by Final Workouts
The top three favorites all completed their final adjustments with “horse-drawn ease” (馬なり余力), suggesting their trainers believe the horses are in peak condition. In contrast, others were worked more intensely, implying the connections of the top favorites have a higher degree of confidence in their horses’ readiness.
2. Final Workout Evaluation List
To compare the recent condition of all 8 runners, the final workout data from around November 12th (Wednesday) is compiled below.
| # | Horse Name | Final Workout (11/12) | Workout Comment | Workout Summary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eishin Deed (Jpn) | Kurita CW, Good (To limit) | Will change in race | Lagging in CW, but similar to previous race. Sufficient training, body is in condition. |
| 2 | Michael Barrows | Kurita Slope, Good (Strongly) | Good extension at the end | Matched with older open-class horses. Extended well before the finish, showing improved condition. |
| 3 | Galilea | Mi-P, Good (G-front effort) | Good alongside race pace | Showed stamina this week. Mouth reception is immature, but full of energy. |
| 4 | Eigerly | Kurita CW, Good (To limit) | Not noticeably fat, but… | Not noticeably fat despite work, but movement is not yet remarkable. |
| 5 | Candido | Kurita Slope, Good (Horse-drawn ease) | Good condition despite layoff | Toned body with springy footwork. In good condition. |
| 6 | Admire Quads | Kurita Slope, Good (Horse-drawn ease) | Powerful stride | Powerful stride, more impressive than the time suggests. Well-balanced body. |
| 7 | Cavalrezzo | Kurita Slope, Good (Horse-drawn ease) | Light movement | Worked sharply last weekend, lightly this week. Light movement, indicating readiness. |
| 8 | Good Peace (Ex) | Kurita Slope, Good (Horse-drawn ease) | Lively running | Focused on the finish, ran with lively steps. Better condition than first race. |
3. In-Depth Analysis of the Top Three
Cavalrezzo
Predicted 1st Favorite
Previous Race: Overwhelming performance with exceptional “finishing speed.” Surged through a gap despite interference, showcasing high acceleration.
Stable Comments: “Gained muscle and is moving even better in training.” Confirmation of physical growth raises expectations significantly.
Final Workout: Confident “horse-drawn ease” adjustment. Light movement indicates perfect condition and readiness for the race.
Candido
Predicted Joint 2nd Favorite
Previous Race: Broke the record in his previous win, proving distance suitability. Rhythmic and relaxed running suggests 1600m is promising.
Stable Comments: “Growth both mentally and physically” after a short break. Temperament issues have improved, making the mile manageable.
Final Workout: Judged as having “good condition despite layoff.” A toned physique with springy footwork indicates perfect shape.
Admire Quads
Predicted Joint 2nd Favorite
Previous Race: Excellent win, “easily overtaking” in a pace-favoring flow. Ability to close from mid-pack is highly rated.
Stable Comments: “Has become more forward-thinking after the race, and I feel improvement.” Strong confidence in his graded stakes ability.
Final Workout: “Powerful stride” overflowing with energy. His improving condition is clearly reflected in his training performance.
4. Analysis of Noteworthy Underdogs
Good Peace (4th Fav)
Has “good sense and finishing speed.” Lively final workout indicates good condition. The most likely to break into the top three.
Galilea (7th Fav)
Noteworthy second-place finish despite interference. Has potential to win with a smooth race. Condition is improving.
Michael Barrows (5th Fav)
Uses his legs for a long time rather than cutting sharply. Race development is key. Showing improved condition from last week.
Eigerly (6th Fav)
Won newcomer race by leading. This race will test his ability from behind. Workout movement was not yet remarkable.
Eishin Deed (8th Fav)
Winner of Hakodate 2-Sai Stakes (GIII). Could benefit from a front-running victory if the pace is slow. However, final workout was dull.
5. Conclusion & Final Prediction
As indicated by the predicted odds, Cavalrezzo, Candido, and Admire Quads are a step above the rest in both ability and condition. Their data shows clear signs of improvement and readiness. However, Galilea has the potential to cause an upset if it gets a smooth run.
This article has provided a detailed analysis of the key prediction points and each horse’s data. The final prediction conclusion and recommended betting strategies are available below.Confirm Final Prediction Now →
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