★MT Zeek:The overwhelming favorite due to superior speed and ability.
★Graciares:The main contender, leveraging experience and jockey strategy.
★Sano no Salvador:A key player with stamina to control the race pace.
★1700m Distance:An unknown challenge favoring stamina and experience.
★Glieze & Ines Utimable:Potential top contenders depending on race development.
Introduction: The 1700m Test
The 28th Kanazawa Young Champion serves as a crucial stepping stone for 2-year-old horses aiming for the 3-year-old season and national regional exchange graded races. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the 10 participating horses, examining their pedigrees, past performance data, and jockey statistics, with a particular focus on their “growth potential” and “suitability for the 1700m distance.”
Significance of the 1700m Race Conditions
Start to First Corner: A long run reduces draw bias but can lead to over-pacing in young horses.
Cornering: Kanazawa’s tight track demands agility; running wide is a significant disadvantage.
Final Straight: The short straight emphasizes “mobility” and “sustained speed” from the final turns.
Detailed Horse Analysis
1
Ines Utimable (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Yuichi Shibata
2
Mo Mo Chrome (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Hiroshi Tachi
3
MT Zeek (Colt, 2yo)
Jockey: Ryuu Nakajima
4
Peach Sour (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Shizuo Oki
5
Graciares (Colt, 2yo)
Jockey: Hiroto Yoshihara
6
Glieze (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Tomokazu Yonekura
7
Sano no Salvador (Colt, 2yo)
Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto
8
Lucienne (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Akira Yoshida
9
Mumtaz Chocolat (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Takayuki Yano
10
Pink Raspberry (Filly, 2yo)
Jockey: Hironobu Koka
Race Development Simulation
Early Stage (Start to 1st Corner)
MT Zeek (3) is likely to take the lead. Sano no Salvador (7) will be in second, with Graciares (5) observing from third.
Middle Stage (Backstretch to 3rd Corner)
If MT Zeek leads unchallenged, the pace might be moderate. Early pressure from others could turn it into a survival race.
Final Stage (4th Corner to Finish)
The decisive phase. Can MT Zeek hold on? Can Graciares challenge? Glieze and Ines Utimable could emerge from the pack.
Conclusion & Recommended Horses
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Main Pick: 3. MT Zeek
Possesses absolute speed and high completion. Times are significantly faster, and pedigree supports the distance. Few weaknesses are apparent.
◯
Contender: 5. Graciares
Leverages power from Monbetsu and jockey Hiroto Yoshihara’s strategic riding. Poised to challenge for the win.
▲
Dark Horse: 7. Sano no Salvador
Smart Falcon’s stamina is a key asset. Has the potential to lead and win depending on race dynamics.
△
Place Contenders: 6. Glieze & 1. Ines Utimable
Glieze’s 1700m experience is valuable. Ines Utimable can conserve energy from the inside draw for a late charge.
Betting Recommendations (Reference)
Exacta/Quinella
3 – 5, 7 (Primary)
Trifecta Formation
1st: 3
2nd: 5, 7
3rd: 1, 5, 6, 7
“Who can stop the ‘monster’ MT Zeek, and how?”
While data and pedigree strongly favor MT Zeek, no race is guaranteed. Use this information to construct your own informed predictions.