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Race Preview & Prediction
Race Significance & HistoryMizusawa Dirt 1600m Course Analysis
In races with less experienced 2-year-olds, pedigree is the primary tool for assessing unknown potential. The suitability of each horse to the Mizusawa 1600m course is evaluated based on their bloodlines:
B+
Sire: Cape Blanco / Dam’s Sire: Admire Moon
European Galileo line sire; sufficient power and stamina for heavy tracks.
A
Sire: Apollo Kentucky / Dam’s Sire: Daiwa Major
Sire was a Tokyo Daishoten winner; large, powerful type suited to Mizusawa sand.
A-
Sire: Hokko Tarumae / Dam’s Sire: Coronado’s Quest
Classic dirt pedigree; strong in stamina-sapping races, distance extension is a plus.
B
Sire: Epoca d’Oro / Dam’s Sire: Deep Impact
Balanced power and stamina; more consistent than explosive.
C+
Sire: Danon Smash / Dam’s Sire: Deep Impact
Sire was a sprint champion; 1600m may be the limit of his stamina.
A
Sire: Mischievous Alex / Dam’s Sire: Friozo
Dam’s sire Friozo was a dirt specialist in regional racing; strong regional dirt pedigree.
B+
Sire: Sand Thunder / Dam’s Sire: Assatis
Sire won Dubai World Cup twice; powerful type suitable for turf and dirt, has underlying strength.
S
Sire: Talismanic / Dam’s Sire: Orfevre
Combines European stamina with Japanese fighting spirit; ideal for tough tracks.
[Absolute Queen]◎
Jockey: Soya Yamamoto (4-1-1-0)
Her career record shows remarkable consistency. Her overwhelming victory in the “Wakagoma Sho” on the same Mizusawa 1600m track is particularly noteworthy, proving her course suitability. Her previous loss is attributed to insufficient distance, and her performance is expected to improve significantly on her optimal track.
[Revenge Dark Horse]○
Jockey: Shinobu Murakami (1-1-0-2)
Despite finishing 9th in her last race, her recorded time of 1:40.9 is among the fastest in this field. Experience in a high-level race is a significant advantage. With skilled jockey Shinobu Murakami aboard, she is the primary threat to Sacristina.
[Consistent Performer]▲
Jockey: Hidetoshi Abe (1-1-1-1)
A consistently strong contender, always in the mix. Her time in the previous Morioka 1600m race was comparable to Sacristina’s Wakagoma Sho performance. She also has a win on the Mizusawa course, indicating sufficient suitability. Her sustained speed is an asset, making her a reliable choice for the betting core.
[Early Speed]△
Jockey: Ryo Takamatsu (0-1-1-2)
Her second-place finish behind Sacristina in the Wakagoma Sho is highly commendable. Her pedigree suggests strong regional dirt suitability. While she struggled in recent shorter races, the extension to 1600m is a positive. Be wary of her ability to lead and hold on.
○
Top Contender
◎
Unshakeable Favorite
▲
Consistent Performer
△ 6
Itazuravega
× 5
Serome
A bet on the first three horses in the exact order.
1st: 8
2nd: 2, 4
3rd: 2, 4, 5, 6
Total: 6 combinations
A bet on two horses to finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
Anchor: 8
Opponents: 2, 4, 5, 6
Total: 6 combinations
This analysis is for informational purposes only. Please bet responsibly.