A Stepping Stone to the Tokyo 2-Year-Old Filly Stakes
November 18, 2025 • Kawasaki Racecourse
(11) Nursery Tail2.5x
(8) Anjurna2.7x
(3) Tokyo Anna5.2x
(2) Trips10.8x
Record: 5 starts, 3 wins. Decisive 2.0s win in Komachi Tokubetsu.
Pedigree: By Tiz the Law, with mare Azeri in lineage.
Analyst: Outstanding victory margin and perfect course suitability make it the top contender with minimal weaknesses.
Record: 2 starts, 2 wins (undefeated). Won by 4 lengths despite slow start.
Point Data: Good racing sense, expected to adapt, personal best in final workout.
Analyst: Immense potential but faces challenges: layoff, first-time transport, distance, and course.
Record: 4 starts, 3 wins (3-race win streak).
Analyst: Genuine winning streak. Experience in traffic is a major asset. Strong contender to upset.
Record: 6 starts, 2 wins. Won Princess Cup (Morioka 1400m).
Analyst: Impactful win, but stable has concerns about distance and course. Risky bet.
Record: 5 starts, 1 win. 2nd to Tokyo Anna by 0.2s.
Analyst: Powerful late charge in last race suggests the longer distance will be a major benefit.
Pedigree: Brother was 2nd in Tenno Sho (Spring), indicating strong stamina.
Analyst: Pedigree and recent acceleration suggest 1600m is a perfect fit. The most dangerous dark horse.
Record: Good results in graded races in other regions.
Analyst: Experience against strong competition is a significant advantage. May be underestimated.
S-Rank (8) Anjurna: “Excellent spirit.” Praised for “sharp leg action.” In perfect condition.
S-Rank (11) Nursery Tail: “Good condition.” Recorded a personal best, dispelling layoff concerns.
A-Rank (9) Ilflottant: “Good response.” Praised for “powerful stride.”
A-Rank (3) Tokyo Anna: “Maintaining good form.” Maintains winning momentum.
A-Rank (4) Cantare: “Sufficient response.” Movement rated as light.
Poor Training (12) Springafort: Workout comment “Lack of extension.” Lost to a lower-class horse by a significant 1.0 second in training despite “full effort.”
This objective data contradicts the trainer’s confident comments and indicates a potential serious issue.
“I believe it can definitely compete.” – Trainer Kokubo on (8) Anjurna
“I’m looking forward to seeing its performance.” – Trainer Kawashima Ichi on (11) Nursery Tail
“…racing with four turns at a mile will be different, so that’s the key point.” – Trainer Ono Nozomi on (2) Trips
“…1600 meters will be a key factor. It would be good if it could settle down.” – Trainer Kato on (10) Mio Thunder
“I hope it gains good experience for the future.” – Trainer Iwasaki on (5) Solvay
(8) Anjurna defeated (9) Ilflottant by a decisive 2.0 seconds. The hierarchy seems clear, and a reversal is statistically improbable.
Only 0.2 seconds separated (3) Tokyo Anna (1st) and (4) Cantare (2nd). However, Cantare’s late-charging race style suggests it will benefit more from the 200m distance extension.
(7) Lamia Melodia‘s pedigree, with a strong long-distance performing brother, clearly favors the extended distance, making it a prime dark horse.
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