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2025 Fujimi Open

Race Analysis & Predictions

November 20, 2025 • Kawasaki Racecourse • 2100m Dirt

Key Takeaways

  • Gloriamundi is the top contender, possessing superior past performance and current condition.
  • The Kawasaki 2100m course is a demanding track requiring stamina and agility due to its six turns.
  • Strong challengers include Opinion Leader and Tsukai No Kizuna.
  • Potential upsets may come from Seika Meteopolis and lightly weighted horses.

Race Overview & Prediction Points

The Fujimi Open, a main event of the “Sparkling Night” series at Kawasaki Racecourse on November 20, 2025, is a stamina test for horses aged 4 to 7 over the challenging 2100m dirt course. The race’s core predictive elements are:

  1. Class Difference: The gap in ability between JRA graded stakes winner Gloriamundi and local South Kanto contenders.
  2. Race Development: The impact of the six sharp turns on the 2100m course and which running styles will be advantageous.
  3. Training Assessment: Interpreting the training data to gauge the condition of each horse.

Course Analysis: Kawasaki Dirt 2100m

Understanding the unique nature of the Kawasaki 2100m course is crucial for accurate predictions. This track tests not only stamina but also agility and mental fortitude to the extreme.

Six Turns Test Agility

The compact 1200m track means the 2100m race has six turns. The critical phase is a long sprint from the backstretch to the final turn. Horses need both the “agility to accelerate through turns” and the “power to push past other horses.”

Stamina-Testing Grind

While the early pace is moderate, the latter half becomes a fierce endurance battle. Horses unable to cope with the increased pace in the final stages are likely to fall behind early.

Contender Analysis

[Horse #10] Gloriamundi

Top Contender

“Overwhelming Performance and Excellent Condition”

The central figure in this race. Having won the JRA G2 “Diolight Kinen” (2400m), there are no concerns about its distance capability. Since transferring to South Kanto, it has consistently finished in the top two in all three starts, including a dominant 7-length victory. Its final workout showed a sharp final furlong of 12.1 seconds. Weaknesses appear minimal.

[Horse #6] Opinion Leader

Strong Challenger

“Challenging the Champion with Course Suitability”

The leading contender against Gloriamundi. Excels in dirt middle-to-long distance races. It finished second in last year’s Fujimi Open, proving its course suitability. Its previous race was a strong winning performance, indicating peak form. Its strong desire to win makes it a potential challenger.

[Horse #3] Tsukai No Kizuna

Strong Challenger

“Upset Winner Awakened at Long Distances”

Shown significant improvement since shifting to longer distances. Two starts back, it won by a commanding 4 lengths. Its final workout indicates it is in perfect condition. With a weaker field this time, it is expected to contend for the win.

[Horse #4] Seika Meteopolis

Veteran Revival

“Old Guard Showing Signs of Revival”

A prominent figure with five graded stakes wins and a past winner on this course. Although recent form has been inconsistent, it secured a placing in its last start. Its final workout was strong, indicating a return to form. Its veteran spirit is worth noting.

Dark Horse Analysis

[Horse #2] Mind Your Mimoza

“The Threat of an 8kg Weight Advantage”

Its biggest weapon is the 49kg weight. In long-distance races, this can greatly impact stamina. Two of its three wins were over 2000m, suggesting increased distance might be beneficial. Its lightness could make it a surprise contender.

[Horse #9] Your History

“A Specialist at Kawasaki 2100m”

The winner of this race two years ago and a course specialist. It can sustain a good pace for a long time, making the long sprint at Kawasaki an ideal scenario. If the race unfolds favorably, it could challenge the top contenders.

Other Runners

  • [Horse #1] Nagata Ace: Recent form suggests it will struggle.
  • [Horse #5] Grind Out: Possesses talent, but concerns remain about a hoof injury.
  • [Horse #7] Sayono Field: A consistent performer that could contend for a placing.
  • [Horse #8] Castle Brave: Significant improvement is unlikely.

Training Data & Race Scenario

Final Workout Comparison

#Horse NameCourseTime (Overall/Final)Rating
10GloriamundiFarm Slope37.9 – 12.1S
4Seika MeteopolisOhi Outer65.1 – 37.3A
6Opinion LeaderUrawa54.4 – 13.8B+
3Tsukai No KizunaFunabashi Outer68.5 – 39.3B+
2Mind Your MimozaKawasaki67.2 – 37.1B
1Nagata AceKawasaki69.0 – 38.8C

Race Simulation

The early pace is not expected to be fierce, with Opinion Leader likely to secure a good position. Gloriamundi will likely race in the mid-pack on the outside, ready to make a move. The pace is expected to be moderate, leading to a long-sprint, stamina-testing race from the backstretch onwards. Tsukai No Kizuna and Seika Meteopolis will aim to utilize their finishing speed from the mid-pack. The key to the race will be the timing of Gloriamundi’s move.

Conclusion & Recommended Approach

  • Absolute Anchor is Gloriamundi: Superior past performance and training data make it highly reliable.
  • Top Rival is Opinion Leader: Course suitability and strong form make it the most likely challenger.
  • Under-Card Candidates: Tsukai No Kizuna and Seika Meteopolis.
  • Dark Horse Considerations: Mind Your Mimoza (light weight) and Your History (course specialist).

A basic strategy would be to anchor the bet on Gloriamundi, with Opinion Leader, Tsukai No Kizuna, and Seika Meteopolis as the main opponents. Final betting decisions should be made at the bettor’s own discretion.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favorite for the 2025 Fujimi Open?

Gloriamundi is recommended as the most likely winner. It has a G2 victory from JRA and has performed consistently since transferring to South Kanto. Its final workout was excellent, suggesting superior ability.What are the characteristics of the Kawasaki 2100m course?

It is a compact course with six turns, demanding both stamina and agility (cornering ability). The straight is short, and the race often becomes a long sprint from the backstretch.Are there any dark horse candidates?

Mind Your Mimoza, leveraging its 49kg lightweight, and Your History, a course specialist at Kawasaki 2100m, have the potential to place highly depending on the race development.

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データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。