[Updated: 2026-01-23…
[Updated: 2026-01-23 16:53:10] Revised by AI Assistant
Analysis by AI
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November 11, 2025
For the Ohi Race meeting on November 11, 2025, we present a thorough analysis of “Value Bets” – horses identified for their high investment potential. Our predictions combine cutting-edge AI forecasts with expert qualitative analysis. We rigorously evaluate each horse’s prospects based on the AI’s predicted win rate and expected return, alongside insights from training reports and stable comments. From unshakeable “Absolute Cornerstones” to highly appealing “Value Anchors” with attractive odds, we reveal the compelling reasons behind our meticulously selected five recommended horses.
This report focuses on the South Kanto Racing (Ohi Racecourse) event scheduled for November 11, 2025. Our primary objective is to identify “Value Bets” – horses with significant investment potential – through objective data analysis. Our analytical approach is built upon two fundamental pillars:
Firstly, we meticulously review quantitative prediction models powered by Artificial Intelligence (AI). This involves a rigorous evaluation of each horse’s prospects based on AI-predicted accuracy rates (win, place, and show percentages) and AI-predicted expected returns (for win, trifecta, and overall bets).
Secondly, we integrate qualitative information analyzed by seasoned experts. This includes detailed analysis of “training data” reflecting each horse’s final adjustments, “stable comments” indicating the trainer’s intentions, and “key data points” that could prove pivotal to the race outcome. This report strictly adheres to the provided data, avoiding speculation or inferences not directly supported by the available information to deliver analytical conclusions.
Our five recommended horses for today are categorized into distinct patterns based on their “value bet” characteristics:
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This classification underscores that our predictions today are not merely about identifying winners, but rather about identifying “Value Bets” – a consistent investment theme guiding our selections.
| Race (R) | Horse Name (◎) | Assumed Win Rate | Assumed Odds | AI Predicted Win Rate | AI Win Rate Rank | AI Overall Recovery Expectation | AI Recovery Expectation Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大井01R | 10 ミユンガー | 22% | 264% | 24.7% | 2位 | 230 | 1位 |
| 大井03R | 7 エイトザット | 36% | 212% | 56.0% | 1位 | 200 | 1位 |
| 大井04R | 5 ストラディウス | 33% | 253% | 50.7% | 1位 | 188 | 1位 |
| 大井09R | 12 ナインエスクァイア | 33% | 255% | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) |
| 大井11R | 11 フジユージーン | 10% | 522% | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) | (データ対象外) |
The AI prediction analysis for this race clearly highlights two strong contenders: 5 Satono Beats (AI Win Rate 41.7%, 1st) and 10 Myunger (AI Win Rate 24.7%, 2nd), significantly outperforming the rest of the field. However, from an investment value (ROI) perspective, this ranking is reversed. Satono Beats holds an AI Overall Expected Return of “168” (2nd), while Myunger achieves an overwhelming “230” (1st). Furthermore, Myunger also ranks 1st in Win Expected Return at “115.” Quantitatively, this race is analyzed as a showdown between “the horse with the highest probability of winning” (Satono Beats) and “the horse with the greatest investment appeal” (Myunger). Our “Value Bet” for this race is unequivocally Myunger.
AI Evaluation: The strongest foundation for recommending this horse lies in its exceptional investment value. Myunger achieved a dominant 1st place in all AI-predicted expected return categories: “Win” (115), “Trifecta Overall” (115), and “Overall” (230). This indicates that our AI model perceives Myunger’s market valuation (assumed odds) as unduly low relative to its actual capability (AI Win Rate).
Qualitative Evaluation: A clear reason exists for the “odds-to-ability gap” identified by the AI. Stable comments explicitly point to “difficulty settling in the previous race” as a distinct reason for underperformance. The stable holds high hopes for its potential, stating, “If he can run smoothly, he can perform well.” Addressing this temperament issue, Myunger’s final workout was conducted “effortlessly,” achieving a “comfortable dead heat” in a short review. This suggests a successful resolution of previous issues (e.g., tension) and an ability to run in a more relaxed manner.
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Overall Analysis: The high expected return calculated by the AI signifies that Myunger’s “latent potential” has been undervalued by the market due to its “temperament issues in previous starts.” Based on stable comments and training reports, there’s a strong likelihood that the primary issue of “settling” will be resolved this time. As a superior “Value Bet” over Satono Beats (ranked 1st by win rate), Myunger is designated as our anchor horse.
This race stands out as an “Absolute Cornerstone” in today’s quantitative analysis. Despite being a 2-year-old maiden race, 7 Eight That has recorded astounding figures in AI predictions. Its AI predicted win rate reaches an incredible 56.0%, place rate 75.0%, and show rate 87.3% – all overwhelmingly ranking 1st. With a win rate more than three times higher than the 2nd-ranked Tatsuno Warrior (AI Win Rate 17.9%), its reliability is unparalleled. Furthermore, its AI Overall Expected Return also registers a leading “200.” An assumed odd of 2.12, based on AI evaluation, represents exceptional “value,” balancing both reliability and enticing potential.
AI Evaluation: As mentioned, this horse achieved a “perfect 1st place” across all six AI prediction categories (win rate, place rate, show rate, win return value, trifecta overall return value, and overall evaluation). Quantitatively, it is an undeniable anchor horse.
Qualitative Evaluation: The AI’s absolute evaluation is flawlessly corroborated by qualitative information. Stable comments reveal the highest possible praise from the stable and top jockey: “Among our stable’s 2-year-olds that Jockey Yano has ridden this year, this is the one he rated the highest.” Furthermore, expert data emphasizes its growth since the official ability test, confidently stating, “After re-adjustment at the farm, its movement has gained flexibility, and its overall condition has improved.” The training regimen is described as “thoroughly worked,” indicating peak readiness.
Overall Analysis: This horse presents a rare case where the “absolute quantitative evaluation” by AI perfectly aligns with the “highest qualitative praise” from the stable and jockey. Its pedigree (its dam’s sister is the Oka Sho winner Let’s Go Donki) further reinforces this high potential. From the provided data, no weaknesses are discernible for Eight That in this race, leading to its conclusion as an unshakeable anchor.
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Following Race 3, this maiden race also features an absolute anchor horse strongly recommended by AI prediction. 5 Stradivarius holds the 1st position with an AI predicted win rate of 50.7%. This figure is more than double that of 2nd-ranked Ascot Miyagi (AI Win Rate 23.5%), indicating that the AI model assesses this horse’s ability as outstanding. Its AI Overall Expected Return is also “188,” placing it 1st. A win bet at assumed odds of 2.53 is deemed to possess high investment value based on AI analysis.
AI Evaluation: Similar to Eight That in Race 3, Stradivarius achieved a “perfect 1st place” across all six AI prediction categories. The AI is highly confident in this horse’s victory on its debut.
Qualitative Evaluation: The key to this horse’s evaluation lies in its “clear improvement since the official ability test (trial race).” According to expert data, while some dullness in reaction was observed during the trial, subsequent training processes have led to a final workout described as “in excellent condition,” a conclusion that perfectly aligns with the expert assessment. This documented improvement from trial issues through training serves as a very strong recommendation for a maiden race.
Overall Analysis: We analyze that the overwhelming potential indicated by AI prediction is now prepared to be demonstrated in a real race, thanks to clear “improvement” since the trial. Both the AI’s quantitative evaluation and the qualitative assessments from training and experts concur on its “excellent condition.” Thus, Stradivarius is an anchor horse with high reliability, second only to Eight That in Race 3.
This race falls outside the scope of AI prediction analysis, and expert data points are also missing. Therefore, our analysis is based on limited information: “assumed win rate,” “training data,” and “stable comments.” The core of the evaluation lies in discerning from qualitative information whether our recommended horse, 12 Nine Esquire, is in optimal condition despite returning from a layoff.
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Qualitative Evaluation: In the absence of AI predictions and other data, the importance of stable intentions and objective training results increases significantly. Stable comments indicate a clear intent to win, stating, “Though returning from a layoff, adjustments are progressing smoothly,” and “We want to win with Jockey Konno.” Supporting this, in the final workout, Nine Esquire finished 0.6 seconds (approximately 3-4 lengths) ahead of a C2 class horse. This is not merely satisfactory for a horse returning from a layoff but is a strong indicator that it is prepared for a high-level performance.
Overall Analysis: The most reliable evidence stems from the stable’s clear “desire to win” and the objective performance of “finishing 0.6 seconds ahead” in training. While the fact of “returning from a layoff” might introduce odds value, the training content completely dispels any concerns. Based on the quality of qualitative information, we strongly recommend this horse.
This race most strikingly embodies today’s theme of “Value Bets.” While 11 Fuji Eugene’s assumed win rate is low at 10%, its assumed odds are set at 5.22, making it a typical high-value recommendation. As this race also falls outside the AI prediction data scope, our analysis focuses on identifying the basis for this high odds value from qualitative information.
Qualitative Evaluation: This horse’s evaluation is primarily encapsulated in the expert data. Its overwhelming record of “7 graded stakes wins in local generational races” signifies that its ability is among the best in this class. Experts confidently state, “It does not fall short in talent even in this company.” Regarding its condition, which might be a concern, it is clearly noted that “its condition is steadily improving after being tuned up in its first start after transfer,” consistent with stable comments and training data indicating “improvement.”
Overall Analysis: Fuji Eugene is a “phenomenally talented horse” with a remarkable record of “7 graded stakes wins.” Due to the outcome of its first start after transfer, its talent may be overlooked by the market. However, experts, the stable, and training data all perfectly agree on “improving and stable condition.” Therefore, the assumed win rate of 10% / assumed odds of 5.22 are concluded to represent an outstanding “Value Bet,” capturing the major buying factor of “a top-tier talented horse showing definite improvement in its second start after a tune-up.”