[Updated: 2026-01-23 18:54:21] Revised by AI Assistant
Analysis by AI
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2025年11月10日
For the Ohi Racecourse events held on November 10, 2025, we present our expert analysis, blending AI’s quantitative predictions with invaluable qualitative insights from seasoned trackmen. This fusion identifies seven high-value “Bargain Bets” (お買い得馬) with significant potential. From promising debutantes whose ability trial performances caught the eye to seasoned contenders in select races, we meticulously examine each horse’s reliability. Discover the astute selections that will serve as the cornerstone of your betting strategy.
- Key Insights from This Report
- Ohi 01R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds (Dirt 1200m)
- Ohi 02R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1600m)
- Ohi 04R: Thoroughbred 2-Year-Olds / Newcomers (Dirt 1200m)
- Ohi 05R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1600m)
- Ohi 07R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1200m)
- Ohi 08R: Bobby Burns Award (Dirt 1600m)
- Ohi 11R: Offt Daigo Award (Dirt 1200m)
Key Insights from This Report
- Our unique approach combines AI predictions with on-site trackman intelligence to pinpoint 7 high-value recommended horses for Ohi Racecourse on November 10, 2025.
- Highlighted horses include the promising newcomer Dear One, Tenchinsotribun, poised to dominate a competitive field, and Sai and Co, a specialist whose distance aptitude shines brightest.
- We provide a detailed analysis of each horse’s training regimen, stable comments, and pedigree, validating the reliability of our AI evaluations.
- This report goes beyond mere popular picks, focusing on “Bargain Bets” – horses offering exceptional odds value – to guide your race day decisions.
Ohi 01R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds (Dirt 1200m)
Race Analysis: Ability Trial Performances Hold the Key
This Class C3 (33 points or less) race for 3-year-old thoroughbreds presents a mixed field of seasoned runners and debutantes from ability trials. While expert publications suggest a clear favorite (“中心不動”), the focus remains on the untapped potential of the trial horses, including our AI-recommended pick, Kyubebe Pepper. Revive Meilard (Gate 1, Stall 1) showed promising raw talent in trials, but stable comments cite “immaturity” and training issues. Camarade (Gate 7, Stall 8), despite being a large horse with decent movement, also receives a lukewarm assessment from connections: “Large horse, and trial performance was just satisfactory.” With no overwhelmingly dominant established runners, the outcome will hinge on the ability trial performances and subsequent conditioning of the newcomers.
Featured Horse Column: Gate 8, Stall 10 – Kyubebe Pepper (AUS)
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 28%
Projected Place Rate: 68%
Projected Odds: 2.77
The AI assigns an exceptionally high reliability to Kyubebe Pepper for a debutant, with a 28% win rate and 68% place rate. This robust assessment aligns perfectly with expert publications labeling the horse as the “undisputed favorite.”
Qualitative Information Verification
This Australian-bred contender (sire North Pacific, dam’s sire Monashee Mountain) showcased an exceptional performance in its ability trial. As assessed, “it pushed through a narrow gap between horses and extended smoothly,” demonstrating outstanding race sense. Despite being noted at the time for “insufficient trackwork, suggesting significant room for improvement,” subsequent adjustments have clearly actualized this potential. The horse has been meticulously trained at an external facility, culminating in a powerful final workout on November 6. Driven “full tilt” up the farm’s uphill track, it clocked a sharp 12.2 seconds for the final furlong. Trainer Watanabe Kazu’s stable commented: “The horse is still young and carries some weight, but the preparation is decent. While still improving, it should be competitive in this class.” This unequivocally supports the data analysis’s assessment of “aiming for a win.”
Overall Assessment
The AI’s projected place rate of 68% is highly reliable. Kyubebe Pepper’s undeniable race sense displayed in trials, rigorous high-load training at the external facility, and the stable’s confident remarks all converge. This horse is a rock-solid anchor for your betting slips.
Ohi 02R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1600m)
Race Analysis: Four Stables Give “◎” – A Fiercely Contested Battle
This 1600m dirt race for C2 Class (Groups 18 & 19) is described by expert publications as a “まんじ巴” (tightly contested battle), indicating a lack of a single dominant favorite. Unusually, this race features a remarkable four horses, including our AI-recommended Tenchinsotribun, receiving a “◎” (top recommendation) from their respective stables. With strong contenders like Noah Sansan, All Stars, and Yasaka Star, a high-level contest is anticipated.
Featured Horse Column: Gate 2, Stall 2 – Tenchinsotribun
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 29%
Projected Place Rate: 67%
Projected Odds: 2.50
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Despite this being a fiercely competitive race, the AI provides Tenchinsotribun with a distinctly superior rating: a 29% win rate and a 67% place rate.
Qualitative Information Verification
With a pedigree boasting sire Henny Hughes (USA) and dam’s sire Hearts Cry, this horse’s most significant highlight is encapsulated in its training report’s single phrase: “improved further after winning.” The final workout on November 6 at Ohi’s outer course (good track) saw it effortlessly clock 53.4-38.8, receiving rave reviews for “movement better than the clocking suggests.” Assistant trainer Yokoyama’s stable comment also gives a “◎” rating, stating, “The interval after the win was planned. We have high expectations here too,” indicating strong confidence. The approximately one-month break since the last race signals the stable’s decisive intent, aiming for a sure win with the horse in perfect condition.
Overall Assessment
While rival horses receive comments like “maintaining form,” Tenchinsotribun’s decisive “improved further after winning” status sets it apart. The stable’s strategic rotation and the high-quality final workout strongly corroborate the AI’s 29% win rate, making it the most formidable candidate to break through this competitive field.
Ohi 04R: Thoroughbred 2-Year-Olds / Newcomers (Dirt 1200m)
Race Analysis: A Three-Way Showdown Featuring Promising Ability Trialists
This 2-year-old maiden race is rated by expert publications as a “三つ巴” (three-way showdown). Sweet Bomb (Gate 3, Stall 3) is highly praised for its “outstanding burst from the gate,” highlighting its exceptional speed. Hutchin (Gate 6, Stall 6) is commended for the remarkable burst of acceleration it displayed in its ability trial. We anticipate a thrilling three-way battle between the speed of Sweet Bomb, the acceleration of Hutchin, and our AI-recommended pick, Dear One.
Featured Horse Column: Gate 6, Stall 7 – Dear One
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 22%
Projected Place Rate: 44%
Projected Odds: 3.22
The AI assigns a 44% place rate, which is the lowest among our seven recommended horses. This is likely due to the inherent uncertainties of a maiden race. However, qualitative information suggests a far superior assessment.
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Qualitative Information Verification
With an elite dirt pedigree (sire Le Vent Se Leve, dam’s sire Street Cry (IRE)), Dear One was highly praised in its ability trial: “It led smoothly and pulled away effortlessly with plenty in reserve.” The decisive factor in its evaluation is its training performance on October 29. The fact that this 2-year-old, prior to its debut, managed to hold its own (“同入” – dead heat at level weights) against Claire Jacques, a graded B1 class seasoned horse, unequivocally demonstrates that its latent potential far exceeds the typical maiden level. Trainer Fujita’s stable also gives a “◎” rating, openly expressing confidence: “Preparation is going smoothly. The horse has speed, so we can expect a lot from its debut.”
Overall Assessment
The AI’s 44% place rate is likely an underestimation. Its training performance, dead-heating with a B1-class veteran, its effortless victory in trials, the stable’s “◎” rating, and its dirt champion pedigree all confirm that a “strong challenge is inevitable.” At projected odds of 3.22, this horse falls squarely into the “Bargain Bet” category.
Ohi 05R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1600m)
Race Analysis: A Confusing Mix of Transfer Horses and Second-Start Improvers
This 1600m dirt race for C2 Class (Groups 15-17) is described by expert publications as a “混戦” (confusing mix). I Am Ibushigin (Gate 1, Stall 1) maintains strong form. Endless Bunker (Gate 7, Stall 11) also shows “improvement after its transfer race,” suggesting further progression. Our AI-recommended horse, Taalberg, is making its “transfer debut,” making the comparison between its inherent readiness and the improving form of other horses the central focus.
Featured Horse Column: Gate 7, Stall 12 – Taalberg
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 16%
Projected Place Rate: 67%
Projected Odds: 4.55
The AI’s assessment shows a 16% win rate against a high 67% place rate, suggesting it’s more likely to place than win outright. The projected odds of 4.55 offer excellent value as a place bet anchor.
Qualitative Information Verification
Taalberg boasts an elite pedigree (sire Duramente, dam’s sire Colonel John (USA)), transferring from JRA (Japan Racing Association). The final furlong time of 12.4 seconds it clocked on the Ritto uphill track during its JRA tenure is an exceptional burst of speed for the South Kanto C2 class. However, trainer Watanabe Kazu’s stable comment is a cautious “△” (neutral), stating, “I believe it has the ability to compete, but it’s its transfer race, so we’ll have to see about its adaptability and other factors; we’ll use this as a first run.”
Overall Assessment
While the AI’s “67% place rate” and the stable’s “△” assessment seem to conflict, this very gap represents the source of potential value. The stable expresses caution due to unknowns, but the AI, based on its JRA performance and training times, likely judges that its inherent ability can overcome these concerns. Given that the stable acknowledges its raw talent, the AI’s “67% place rate” is reliable, making it an optimal choice for a place bet or as an anchor in a trifecta/trio wager.
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Ohi 07R: Thoroughbred 3-Year-Olds & Up (Dirt 1200m)
Race Analysis: Many Dark Horses, Takeno Rich with Stable’s “◎”
This 1200m dirt race for C2 Class (Groups 15-17) is labeled “伏兵多し” (many dark horses) by expert publications, indicating another competitive field. The main contender appears to be Takeno Rich (Gate 3, Stall 3). Trainer Sano’s stable gives it a top “◎” rating, expressing strong winning intent: “Having had one run, its condition has improved, and we expect it to contend for the win this time.”
Featured Horse Column: Gate 8, Stall 12 – Summer Tour
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 29%
Projected Place Rate: 64%
Projected Odds: 2.61
The AI places Summer Tour as the top favorite with a 29% win rate, even surpassing the strong contender Takeno Rich.
Qualitative Information Verification
From the lineage of sire Maurice and dam’s sire Empire Maker (USA), Trainer Shoji’s stable gives a “○” (strong contender) rating, commenting, “Its time in the last race was good, so we have expectations.” This is further substantiated by its training. In the final workout on November 6, it was strongly pushed against Prest Arthur, a higher-class B3 horse, and achieved a “同入” (dead heat) while working easily. The workout report also notes “light movement” and “moving better than the previous race.”
Overall Assessment
The stable’s concern regarding the “class ranking” barrier can be overcome by its dead-heat performance with a higher-class B3 horse. Being in “even better condition” than its “good time in the previous race,” it is highly likely to reverse the outcome against its rivals, precisely as the AI predicts.
Ohi 08R: Bobby Burns Award (Dirt 1600m)
Race Analysis: Main Contenders on Par, In-form Ramorac Takes Center Stage
This 1600m dirt race for C1 Class (Groups 8 & 9) is rated “主力互角” (main contenders on par) by expert publications. The star of the race is Ramorac (Gate 1, Stall 1), who has won its last four starts. Trainer Saso’s stable also places absolute trust in it with a “◎” rating. Our AI-recommended horse, Admire Aile, is returning from a “layoff,” making the key question how well it can challenge such a formidable rival.
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Featured Horse Column: Gate 7, Stall 9 – Admire Aile
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 18%
Projected Place Rate: 54%
Projected Odds: 3.00
Reflecting the presence of a strong rival and its layoff, the AI’s win rate is a modest 18%, but its place rate secures a respectable 54%, offering significant value against projected odds of 3.00.
Qualitative Information Verification
With a pedigree of dirt specialists (sire Copano Rickey, dam’s sire Singspiel (IRE)), Admire Aile is still a step away from peak condition. However, it was pushed “full tilt” in its final workout, with the report noting “improvement after this workout,” indicating an upward trend. Trainer Watanabe Kazu’s stable also gives a “○” (strong contender) rating, commenting, “Due to the layoff, it feels a little heavy, but its movement isn’t bad. I think it can perform to some extent even immediately.” The expectation is that even without being in perfect condition, its inherent class will carry it into the money.
Overall Assessment
While Ramorac presents a high hurdle to win, and Admire Aile is not yet in perfect condition, considering its inherent dirt ability and the stable’s positive assessment, the AI’s “54% place rate” is highly reliable. With projected odds of 3.00 and a 54% place rate, this is clearly identified as a “Bargain Bet” opportunity.
Ohi 11R: Offt Daigo Award (Dirt 1200m)
Race Analysis: B1 Select, Cracks in Claire Jacques’ Winning Streak?
This is a high-level sprint showdown, a select race for B1 Class (Group 3) and B2 Class (Group 2) horses. The main focus is Claire Jacques (Gate 8, Stall 12), a central figure whom trainer Matoba’s stable backs with a “◎,” stating, “We expect another win.” The crucial question is whether our AI-recommended horse, Sai and Co, possesses the decisive weapon to overcome this formidable rival.
Featured Horse Column: Gate 5, Stall 5 – Sai and Co
AI Data Analysis
Projected Win Rate: 23%
Projected Place Rate: 68%
Projected Odds: 3.12
Despite the presence of an undisputed favorite, the AI assigns Sai and Co an exceptionally high rating: a 23% win rate and a 68% place rate.
Qualitative Information Verification
With sire Mind Your Biscuits (USA), there’s a clear “information asymmetry” between the stable’s comments and the point data. While Trainer Aramayama’s stable expresses concern about the distance reduction, the point data unequivocally declares: “With 7 wins and 1 second place from 8 starts at 1200m, a victory challenge is naturally expected.” This horse is, in fact, a “1200m specialist” throughout its career. This overwhelming aptitude for the distance is undoubtedly the basis for the AI’s confident assessment. Its training also shows “improvement after a tightening race,” and in a joint workout, it “finished ahead with plenty in reserve,” demonstrating perfect preparation.
Overall Assessment
The stable’s concerns are myopic; this horse’s career record (7 wins from 8 starts at 1200m) clearly indicates its best conditions. The AI’s 23% win rate and 68% place rate are fully justified. This is an unmissable opportunity, as the qualitative and quantitative data align to project Sai and Co as a dominant force at its preferred distance, offering phenomenal value.
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