京都2歳ステークス 2025

京都2歳ステークス 2025 追い切り徹底分析

[Updated: 2026-01-23 18:48:31] Revised by AI Assistant

Analysis by AI

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Race Name: The 12th Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes (GIII)

Race Date: November 29, 2025

Course: Kyoto Turf 2000m (Inner Track)

Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes: Course Suitability and Training Importance

The Kyoto Turf 2000m (Inner Track) course demands precision and instantaneous acceleration from its contenders. With a short run to the first corner and a flat, brief homestretch, races here are won not just by raw speed, but crucially by a horse’s ‘tractability’ (how well it settles) and ‘responsiveness’ (its ability to change gears). In these early two-year-old contests, these qualities often dictate the outcome. Most stables follow a classic preparation: a strenuous workout on the course one week out, followed by a lighter, responsive gallop on the uphill track (Sakurou) or an easy canter (Manari) for the final workout. The subtle changes in this adjustment process often reveal a horse’s underlying growth and peak condition.

Thorough Analysis of Top Contenders

Go Into Sky (Miho, Trainer Yu Uehara Stable)

Despite traveling from the Miho Training Center, Go Into Sky’s conditioning is impeccable, earning our top rating. Noteworthy improvements in addressing previous issues further suggest an ideal preparation curve for this important Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

Final Workout (November 26): Miho Woodchip (Slightly Heavy), 84.6 – 68.6 – 53.0 – 38.4 – 11.9 (Easily, with plenty in reserve). This workout saw the colt match a three-win class older horse. Despite the slightly heavy track and poor visibility due to fog, clocking a final furlong of 11.9 seconds effortlessly clearly indicates superb condition.

One-Week-Out Workout (November 20): Miho Woodchip (Good), 82.5 – 66.4 – 51.7 – 36.4 – 11.5 (Easily, with plenty in reserve). Chased an older horse by 0.5 seconds and finished alongside. This gallop suggests enhanced cardiopulmonary function and significant physical development.

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Pedigree and Background: Sired by Contrail out of a mare by Unbridled’s Song. The report noted that the tendency to lean right, observed in his debut race, has been rectified. Training comments highlight that he is “relying less on the bit, leading to a significant improvement in reaction speed.” This suggests a resolution of his immaturity, making it highly probable he can unleash his sire’s burst of speed on the Kyoto course.

Flieger (Ritto, Trainer Yahagi Stable)

Hailing from the esteemed Yahagi stable, Flieger demonstrates exceptional consistency on the uphill track, blending impressive stamina with explosive acceleration. Its high tractability also earns significant praise, making it a strong contender for the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

Final Workout (November 26): Ritto Uphill Track (Good), 54.3 – 39.0 – 24.7 – 12.1 (Strong finish). While the overall time might seem moderate, the remarkable acceleration in the final two furlongs (12.6s to 12.1s) highlights its superb responsiveness.

One-Week-Out Workout (November 19): Ritto Woodchip (Good), 96.0 – 79.1 – 65.0 – 51.6 – 37.3 – 11.9 (Driven hard). Undertook an intensive 7-furlong long-distance gallop, specifically strengthening its stamina for the 2000m race. The ability to maintain form despite such a demanding workload is highly commendable.

Pedigree and Background: Sired by Contrail out of a mare by Ghostzapper. After his last race, the jockey commented that he has “a very good temperament,” which clearly contributes to his stability in training. With no concerns regarding his tractability, the longer distance is likely to be a significant advantage for Flieger.

Winners Nine (Ritto, Trainer Oguri Stable)

An undefeated horse with two wins from two starts, Winners Nine’s stunning final furlong of 11.1 seconds in training signals a significant step up in form and genuine contention for the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

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Final Workout (November 26): Ritto Woodchip (Good), 84.2 – 68.3 – 52.7 – 36.7 – 11.1 (Easily, with plenty in reserve). Recorded one of the fastest final furlongs among the entries, an impressive 11.1 seconds, achieved effortlessly. This workout completely dispels previous comments about him “lacking sharpness” from his last race.

One-Week-Out Workout (November 19): Ritto Woodchip (Good), 82.7 – 66.0 – 51.3 – 36.9 – 11.3 (Driven hard). Chased a schooling partner by 1.3 seconds and finished alongside. The demanding workload, simulating race conditions, has clearly honed his mental toughness.

Pedigree and Background: Sired by Epiphaneia out of a mare by Real Impact. While he showed some wavering in his previous race, the sharp acceleration in his final workout leads us to confidently assess that his previous issue of being “sluggish” has improved. With the characteristic growth spurt of an Epiphaneia progeny, he appears to have matured considerably.

Evaluating the Dark Horses Who Could Influence the Race

Ask Edinburgh (Ritto, Trainer Fukunaga Stable)

Clocked an exceptional 10.9-second final furlong on the Woodchip course one week out. While the challenge of his “too honest to relax” temperament, noted after his last race, remains, training comments suggest “temperamental growth.” His explosive power should not be underestimated, and he could be a major factor in the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

Satono Ivory (Ritto, Trainer Haru Sugiyama Stable)

Marked a personal-best equivalent time one week out, outworking an older horse. Praised for his “powerful stride,” he clearly has significant improvement since his second-place finish in the previous race. His pedigree, with dam Whale Capture, suggests high suitability for the Kyoto 2000m course.

Rock Termigan (Ritto, Trainer Kimihiko Ishizaka Stable)

Successfully combined a 7-furlong gallop on the Woodchip with a sharp 11.1-second final furlong. His ability to keep pace with open-class older horses was outstanding, showcasing a fine balance of stamina and speed. He has the potential to emerge victorious in a competitive race.

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Nettaiyarai (Ritto, Trainer Yahagi Stable)

Due to a two-week turnaround, he had a lighter adjustment. However, his “agile movement” indicates sustained good form. With the front-running speed that led to his last victory, he is a key player who could dictate the pace of the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

Training Comparison Data at a Glance

Final Workout: Last Furlong (1F) Time Ranking (Burst of Speed)

RankHorse NameCourseTime
1st TieWinners NineRitto CW11.1 sec (Easily)
1st TieCarapersonaRitto CW11.1 sec (Driven Hard)
3rdGo Into SkyMiho W11.9 sec (Easily)
4th TieFliegerRitto Sakurou12.1 sec (Strong Finish)
4th TieRock TermiganRitto Sakurou12.1 sec (Easily)

One-Week-Out Workout: Load Intensity Ranking (CW Course, Stamina & Cardiopulmonary Function)

Horse NameCourseTime (6F/7F)Evaluation
Ask EdinburghRitto CW83.8 (6F), 10.9 secAstonishing sharpness, excellent response
FliegerRitto CW96.0 (7F), 11.9 secStamina strengthened with long 7F gallop
Rock TermiganRitto CW97.3 (7F), 11.1 secTenacity to keep pace with higher-class horses
Go Into SkyMiho W82.5 (6F), 11.5 secHigh level of completeness for a Kanto-based horse
Satono IvoryRitto CW82.5 (6F), 11.4 secDemonstrated powerful stride

Uphill Track Training: Acceleration Evaluation (Ritto Uphill Track Acceleration Lap Evaluation)

Horse NameLapEvaluation
FliegerLast 2F→1F 12.6 → 12.1 sec (-0.5 sec)Marked elongation of stride at finish
Rock TermiganLast 2F→1F 13.0 → 12.1 sec (-0.9 sec)Sharp response
Meisho SolarisLast 2F→1F 13.3 → 12.4 sec (-0.9 sec)Brisk movement

Supplementary Analysis from a Pedigree Perspective

Suitability of Contrail Progeny

Go Into Sky, Flieger, and Nettaiyarai are all offspring of the promising new sire Contrail. Just as Contrail himself excelled at Kyoto Racecourse, this lineage tends to perform strongly in bursts of speed on lighter turf, making them well-suited for the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

  • Go Into Sky: His pedigree with dam by Unbridled’s Song suggests excellent compatibility with sustained speed.
  • Flieger: The addition of power from his dam’s sire, Ghostzapper, means he can also handle tougher race conditions.

Suitability of Epiphaneia Progeny

Winners Nine, Carapersona, and Satono Ivory are progeny of Epiphaneia. This sire is characterized by combining precocity and stamina, consistently delivering high performance from their two-year-old season.

  • Winners Nine: The influence of his dam’s sire, Real Impact, also complements his mile-like speed.
  • Satono Ivory: Influenced by his dam Whale Capture (sire Kurofune), he is capable of performing well on power-demanding tracks.

Conclusion: Comprehensive Evaluation Based on Training, Pedigree, and Data

S Rating

Go Into Sky

His 11.5-second time one week out and 11.9 seconds this week (under poor visibility) at Miho Woodchip indicate peak condition. Reports of improved bit acceptance, a previous concern, mean he is perfectly prepared to conquer the Kyoto inner turf course. He stands out as a top pick for the Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes.

A+ Rating

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Winners Nine

The final 11.1 seconds on the Woodchip course were simply superb. The sluggishness observed in his previous race has been resolved, and his responsiveness is now razor-sharp. The latent strength of this undefeated horse is immeasurable.

A Rating

Flieger

Utilizing both the uphill track and Woodchip, he has demonstrated high-level proficiency in both long-distance gallops and short-burst acceleration. His excellent tractability will be a significant asset in a competitive race.

Special Mention

Ask Edinburgh

While temperament remains a challenge, his explosive 10.9-second final furlong on the Woodchip course showcases G1-level talent. If he can maintain composure in the paddock on race day, he possesses the allure of a dark horse upset.

The overall condition of each horse is high, and a highly competitive Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes is anticipated. Particular attention will be paid to how horses with improved ‘reaction speed’ perform on the short straight of the Kyoto course.

References and Data Sources

This analysis is based on the official race card, training data, stable comments, pre-race interview data, and pedigree charts provided from ‘20251129_4th Kyoto 7th Day_11R_The 12th Kyoto 2-Year-Old Stakes (GIII).txt’. The information contained in this article is based on training times from the past two weeks and officially released data.

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