【黒潮マイルチャンピオンシップ2025予想】データ分析で導く注目馬とレース展開のポイント

【黒潮マイルチャンピオンシップ2025予想】データ分析で導く注目馬とレース展開のポイント

[Updated: 2026-01-23 18:12:14] Revised by AI Assistant

Analysis by AI: Welcome to a comprehensive, data-driven analysis of the prestigious 2025 Kochi Horse Racing Grade Race, the 21st Kuroshio Mile Championship. This report meticulously dissects key predictive factors, from the pivotal results of the preliminary races to the momentum of favorites like Win Verde, assessing crucial 1600m distance suitability, and evaluating the strength of contenders from other regions. We’ll compare the capabilities of top horses to reveal those poised to dictate the race’s outcome and challenge for the 10-million-yen prize.

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この記事の要点:21st Kuroshio Mile Championship

  • The most crucial data point is the preliminary race on October 26th, where Win Verde dominated, proving its current speed capability is top-tier.
  • The extension to 1600m is the biggest challenge, pitting the speed of 1400m specialists against the stamina of middle-distance proven horses like Meisho Uzumasa.
  • Excellent Time emerges as a reliable candidate for a solid bet, thanks to its versatile distance performance and consistent high stability.
  • Among horses returning from campaigning in other regions (Nagoya), special attention should be paid to Sunrise Grit, with jockey Akaoka taking the reins, and Barituro, who boasts a strong track record at Kochi.

第21回 黒潮マイルチャンピオンシップの概要

Kochi Racecourse is set to host autumn’s premier mile event, the 21st Kuroshio Mile Championship. Scheduled as Kochi Race 6, with an 18:05 start, this highly anticipated race spans a challenging dirt 1600m, featuring a substantial winner’s prize of 10,000,000 yen in a weight-for-age format.

This analytical report is built exclusively upon objective performance data from provided ability and pedigree charts. We strictly exclude speculation and subjective condition assessments, offering an unbiased analysis grounded solely in the proven “achievements” and “abilities” demonstrated by each participating horse in their past races.

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The 1600m at Kochi presents a unique challenge, where the transition from the more common 1400m races is paramount. Pure speed alone is often insufficient, as the final stretch truly tests stamina, demanding a comprehensive skill set from contenders.

予想のポイント①:最重要データ「前哨戦」の徹底解剖

The races held approximately two weeks prior, specifically on October 26, 2025, offer the most critical insights into each horse’s current condition and momentum. The results from these preliminary contests directly indicate the present power dynamics among the entries.

「A-2 サ」(10/26・1400m・不良)の結果とインサイト

This particular race featured a direct confrontation between four horses slated for the Kuroshio Mile Championship: Win Verde, Gratias Goo, Namura Boss, and Meisho Uzumasa.

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  • 1着: ウインヴェルデ (Win Verde)
    Achieved a resounding victory with a time of 1:29.8, finishing 0.7 seconds ahead of the second-place horse. Despite the heavy track conditions, Win Verde showcased a powerful performance, pressing from third position before breaking away, unequivocally proving its 1400m speed capability is among the elite in Kochi’s A-class.
  • 3着: グラティアスグー (Gratias Goo)
    Despite being a longshot at 6th favorite, Gratias Goo delivered a strong run, finishing 0.9 seconds behind the winner in 3rd place. Notably, it finished ahead of the day’s top favorite, Meisho Uzumasa (6th), indicating excellent current form.
  • 6着: メイショウウズマサ (Meisho Uzumasa)
    Entered as the 1st favorite but finished a distant 6th, 1.1 seconds behind Win Verde. This result clearly suggests that in a 1400m speed duel, Meisho Uzumasa currently lacks the momentum of the top two contenders.

「オパール」(10/26・1400m・不良)の結果とインサイト

  • 2着: エクセレントタイム (Excellent Time)
    Suffered a narrow defeat, finishing just 0.1 seconds behind the winner. This horse also secured 2nd place in the “Sangokukan” (9/28・1900m) two races prior, showcasing remarkable consistency. Its record at Kochi (1 win, 7 second-place finishes, 2 third-place finishes) paints a picture of a typical “silver collector.” However, its ability to consistently perform well across different distances and avoid major collapses, regardless of the competition, positions Excellent Time as the most reliable anchor horse candidate for the 1600m championship.

予想のポイント②:「1600m」への距離適性(スタミナ vs スピード)

The Kuroshio Mile Championship is contested over 1600m. The second major focal point of this analysis is whether the “speed” of horses coming from 1400m races will prevail, or if the “stamina” of those with proven records at 1900m or specific 1600m experience will dominate.

1600m以上の距離における実績馬

  • メイショウウズマサ (Meisho Uzumasa)
    Boasts a victory at 1600m four races ago, making it the only horse among the entries with a recent win over this specific distance. Its previous poor showing in the 1400m race could be interpreted as a reflection of its true distance suitability. Therefore, a return to 1600m presents an excellent opportunity for a significant comeback.
  • エスポワールガイ (Espoir Guy)
    Demonstrated strong form with a 3rd place finish in its previous 1900m race, suggesting a stamina-oriented profile that favors longer distances over 1400m. The 1600m distance falls comfortably within its proven range.
  • グッドヒューマー (Good Humor)
    Possesses exceptional distance aptitude for 1600m to 1800m. However, this race marks its return to competition after approximately five months. For an 11-year-old veteran, a strong performance immediately following such a long layoff is statistically challenging.

1400m以下からの距離延長組の懸念

ウインヴェルデ (Win Verde)
All four of its most recent races have been over 1400m or 1300m. The key to evaluating Win Verde lies in weighing its “momentum from the previous dominant win” against the “uncertainty of its 1600m debut.” Given its pedigree (sire: Roses in May), there is a reasonable expectation for stamina, suggesting that the distance extension may not necessarily be an immediate disadvantage.

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予想のポイント③:他地区遠征組と騎手の評価

Two horses have recently competed outside of Kochi (Nagoya). The third crucial point of this analysis involves evaluating their performances in these “away games.”

「名古屋」遠征帰りの2頭をどう見るか?

  • サンライズグリット (Sunrise Grit)
    Finished 4th in its previous race over Nagoya’s 1500m. For this championship, it will be ridden by Kochi’s top jockey, Shu Akaoka. The stable’s decision to entrust a star jockey for a home-turf graded race suggests a higher level of intent than what its previous race result might indicate.
  • バリチューロ (Barituro)
    While suffering a significant defeat in its last race at Nagoya, Barituro showed exceptional speed two races prior, finishing 2nd in a 1400m race at Kochi, ahead of both Sunrise Grit and Meisho Uzumasa. If it performs on Kochi’s track, it potentially possesses top-tier speed. A drop in popularity due to its last poor performance could present an attractive betting opportunity.

第21回 黒潮マイルチャンピオンシップ 出走馬データ一覧

馬番馬名騎手厩舎斤量近4走の着順(右が前走)
1メイショウウズマサ岡遼太中西578/3(1600m/1着), 9/14(1400m/5着), 9/28(1900m/7着), 10/26(1400m/6着)
2エクセレントタイム郷間勇川野578/3(1400m/6着), 9/14(1400m/3着), 9/28(1900m/2着), 10/26(1400m/2着)
3ニクソンテソーロ加藤翔田中守576/8(1400m/3着), 7/6(1400m/7着), 7/20(1300m/11着), 8/3(1400m/8着)
4サンライズグリット赤岡修宮川浩577/20(1300m/5着), 8/14(笠1600m/4着), 9/14(1400m/3着), 10/16(名1500m/4着)
5ナムラボス多田羅誠工藤真579/14(1400m/6着), 9/28(1900m/10着), 10/12(1400m/7着), 10/26(1400m/4着)
6ウインヴェルデ井上瑛打越577/6(1400m/5着), 7/20(1300m/4着), 8/3(1400m/5着), 10/26(1400m/1着)
7エスポワールガイ岡村卓雑賀正577/6(1400m/3着), 8/3(1600m/5着), 9/14(1400m/8着), 9/28(1900m/3着)
8バリチューロ城野慈倉兼577/20(1300m/7着), 8/14(園1230m/2着), 9/14(1400m/2着), 10/16(名1500m/6着)
9マイネルシトラス永森大打越578/3(1400m/9着), 9/14(1400m/6着), 9/28(1600m/8着), 10/12(1400m/3着)
10グラティアスグー林謙佑川野578/3(1400m/3着), 9/14(1400m/9着), 9/28(1900m/6着), 10/26(1400m/3着)
11グッドヒューマー妹尾浩打越573/9(1600m/7着), 4/13(1900m/7着), 5/25(1600m/3着), 6/21(1800m/2着)

結論:データ分析に基づく最終的な見解

This article has provided a thorough analysis of the predictive factors for the 21st Kuroshio Mile Championship, relying solely on objective performance data. The central question revolves around whether the impressive “momentum” of Win Verde, fresh off a dominant preliminary win, can overcome the challenge of an extended 1600m distance. Key contenders include the consistently stable Excellent Time, Meisho Uzumasa aiming for a comeback with its proven distance suitability, and the intriguing returning local horses whose prospects are boosted by jockey changes or inherent course advantages. These dynamics are set to define the race.

For the definitive race conclusion, final predictions, and recommended betting strategies based on this comprehensive data analysis, please refer to the expert insights available via the link below.

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