January 12, 2026&nbs…
[Updated: 2026-01-23 18:09:13] Revised by AI Assistant
Analysis by AI
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November 16, 2025
Welcome to our data-driven preview for the prestigious Kizuna Cup (M2) at Morioka Racecourse, set to run on November 16, 2025. This in-depth article meticulously analyzes past race data to unravel the intricate dynamics among key contenders such as Uraya, Lady Brown, and Oscar Brain. We’ll specifically dissect the results of crucial preliminary races to identify potential race developments and pinpoint lucrative betting opportunities from an objective, data-first perspective.
Before diving into the intricate data, let’s establish the fundamental race information and the specific conditions guiding our analysis.
This analysis is exclusively based on the provided performance charts. Please note that due to identified data acquisition errors, “training data” and “stable comments” are not included in this report. Consequently, all evaluations below are strictly confined to objective historical race performances, encompassing factors such as finishing positions, times, race flow (passing orders), and final 3-furlong times (上がり3F).
For accurately predicting the Kizuna Cup, recent performance—especially results from races where the same contenders clashed directly—holds far more significance than overall career statistics. Fortunately, many of this year’s participants have fiercely competed in recent Morioka sprint events, offering invaluable insights into their current form and relative strengths.
The most pivotal preliminary race took place on October 21st over the exact same distance and course conditions (Morioka 1200m, yielding track). A remarkable 8 out of 11 starters from this race are set to compete in the Kizuna Cup. The results were as follows:
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A data review of this race reveals a high-paced (H) scenario, with Oscar Brain (6) setting the early tempo (passing order 1-1) and Aishin Torpedo (8) pressing close behind (2-2). While Oscar Brain (6) recorded a final 3-furlong time (上がり3F) of 37.0 and Aishin Torpedo (8) clocked 36.5, Lady Brown (5), who settled in mid-pack (passing order 7-6), unleashed a sharp 35.6 for her final 3 furlongs. Similarly, Uraya (2), coming from further back (8-7), posted an even quicker 35.4. This October 21st race was defined by a front-running battle at a fast pace, allowing horses with potent late-closing speed to dominate. This outcome serves as an extremely crucial indicator for the main event, the Kizuna Cup.
The most recent race involving Kizuna Cup contenders was a 1000m sprint held on November 4th. While shorter than the Kizuna Cup, it provides valuable insight into the current form of the horses. Four Kizuna Cup participants competed:
Oscar Brain (6), who finished 4th in the October 21st 1200m race, demonstrated a strong return to form by leading wire-to-wire from the “1-1” passing order to secure a victory in this 1000m sprint. This performance clearly indicates his improved condition. Furthermore, Guadeloupe (12), who was 7th in the October 21st (1200m) race, also showed a significant uplift, finishing 2nd here. These results suggest that both horses possess high aptitude for the intense speed battles over 1000m.
Delving further back in time, we examine the results of another 1200m sprint (heavy track) held on September 9th, where several key contenders also clashed:
In this contest, Oscar Brain (6) once again took the lead (1-1), with Aishin Torpedo (8) tracking closely (2-2). However, Uraya (2), positioned in the middle (5-2), launched a decisive late challenge to overtake the front-runners and claim victory. The data from both the September 9th and October 21st 1200m races consistently illustrate a recurring pattern: Oscar Brain (6) typically sets the pace, Aishin Torpedo (8) maintains a strong position in the lead pack, while Uraya (2) and Lady Brown (5) demonstrate potent closing speed from off the pace.
A chronological comparison of these three crucial races offers a clear overview of each horse’s consistency and distance preferences.
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| Race Name | Date | Distance | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | 4th Place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprint | Nov 4 | 1000m | Oscar Brain | Guadeloupe | Aishin Torpedo | Good Fortune |
| Sprint | Oct 21 | 1200m | Lady Brown | Uraya | Aishin Torpedo | Oscar Brain |
| Sprint | Sep 9 | 1200m | Uraya | Aishin Torpedo | Lady Brown | Oscar Brain |
Based on our comprehensive preliminary race analysis, let’s individually evaluate the leading contenders for the Kizuna Cup.
Analysis: Lady Brown boasts a commendable Morioka dirt record of [4-3-1-5]. Her victory in the pivotal October 21st (1200m) preliminary, where she defeated formidable male competitors like Uraya (2) and Aishin Torpedo (8) by a head, is a highly significant achievement. While she finished 3rd, 0.7 seconds behind Uraya (2) in the September 9th (1200m) race, her subsequent win over Uraya (2) on October 21st suggests she may have hit peak form at a crucial time.
Key Data & Insights: Lady Brown carries 55kg in the Kizuna Cup. This 2kg weight advantage over key rivals such as Uraya (2), Oscar Brain (6), and Aishin Torpedo (8) (all at 57kg) is a substantial asset. If she can replicate her blistering final 3-furlong time of 35.6 seconds from October 21st, a consecutive victory is well within her reach.
Analysis: Uraya’s Morioka dirt record stands at [4-2-0-3], and his overall regional dirt record of [5-2-1-6] highlights a consistently high win/place rate.
Key Data & Insights: Uraya is arguably a specialist at Morioka’s 1200m. His recent form includes a 2nd place in the July 13th “Iwate Cup,” a 1st place in the September 9th “Sprint,” and a narrow 2nd place (beaten by a head) in the October 21st “Sprint.” The data unequivocally positions him as one of the most reliable performers over this course. His final 3-furlong time of 35.4 on October 21st was among the fastest in the field. Should the anticipated fierce pace battle among front-runners materialize, Uraya’s devastating closing speed is highly likely to be a decisive factor.
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Analysis: Oscar Brain’s Morioka dirt record is [5-2-0-2]. His recent wire-to-wire victory in the November 4th 1000m sprint, achieved from the “1-1” passing order, undeniably points to an upward trend in his form.
Key Data & Insights: However, a closer examination of his last four starts reveals a consistent pattern in 1200m races: he finished 4th on September 9th and 4th on October 21st, both times fading in the stretch after setting or being near the pace. The data suggests that while Oscar Brain (6) possesses the speed to lead and win over 1000m, the extended 1200m distance sees his legs falter in the final 200m. His final 3-furlong time of 37.0 on October 21st was over a second slower than those of Lady Brown (5) and Uraya (2).
Analysis: Aishin Torpedo’s Morioka dirt record is [1-1-2-1]. The defining characteristic of this horse is his exceptional consistency.
Key Data & Insights: Aishin Torpedo has remarkably finished within the top 3 in all three of his recent crucial races (11/4 1000m: 3rd, 10/21 1200m: 3rd, 9/9 1200m: 2nd). He consistently positions himself favorably in the race, often running from “2-2” or “5-4,” and rarely falters significantly. While he may lack the explosive burst to win outright against top-tier competition, the data unequivocally marks him as the most reliable contender for supporting wagers, such as in exacta or trifecta combinations.
Our analysis has highlighted three critical points for formulating your Kizuna Cup betting strategy.
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Oscar Brain (6), coming from the November 4th (1000m) group, exhibits strong recent momentum. Conversely, Lady Brown (5) and Uraya (2), from the October 21st (1200m) group, possess proven performance over the exact race distance. In horse racing predictions, “distance suitability” is often as, if not more, crucial than “current form.” The data clearly indicates that Oscar Brain (6)’s performance dips over 1200m (4th on 10/21, 4th on 9/9). Therefore, prioritizing proven 1200m performance over 1000m momentum is the fundamental tenet of data-driven analysis for this race.
Oscar Brain (6) has led or been second in all of his last four starts. Additionally, Lord of the Czech (1), drawn in barrier 1, also won his October 7th race by leading wire-to-wire (1-1), with multiple other races showing him in a “3-3” position. With these two front-running/speedy horses in the field, a pace even faster than the October 21st high-speed contest is anticipated. This scenario will likely be challenging for front-runners like Oscar Brain (6) and those trying to stick to the pace like Aishin Torpedo (8). Instead, as the data from October 21st suggests, this setup is ideally suited for horses that can conserve energy in mid-pack and unleash a strong finish, making Uraya (2) and Lady Brown (5) strong contenders.
Selecting the right anchor horse is paramount for any betting strategy.
This article has objectively analyzed the leading contenders and potential race dynamics for the Kizuna Cup, drawing solely from the provided historical race data. It’s important to reiterate that “training data” and “stable comments” were unavailable for this report. These factors are crucial for assessing a horse’s immediate condition on race day.
For the definitive final selections (◎○▲), taking into account last-minute track conditions, paddock observations, and expert insights including training reports and stable information, along with concrete betting recommendations, please refer to the link below.
＞＞ Get the Kizuna Cup 2025 Final Predictions & Betting Picks Here!