The 2025 Fantasy Stakes (G3) is a pivotal race for 2-year-old fillies aspiring to become future champions. Focusing on the indispensable “oikiri” (workouts), this report provides a thorough analysis of the top contenders’ final form. We’ve graded horses like Festival Hill and Meisho Hakkei on an S, A, B scale, considering not just their times but also their movement quality and stable comments. Use this guide to accurately gauge each horse’s readiness and sharpen your predictions.
Key Takeaways
- ★SFestival Hill:Clocked a phenomenal time on the woodchip course, dominating her training partner. Shows clear signs of reaching full physical and mental maturity.
- ★A+Meisho Hakkei:Demonstrates consistently high-level performance. Jockey Yutaka Take praised her, stating she is “in peak physical and mental form.”
- ★ABlack Chalice & Shiranui:The proven runner-up of the Hakodate Nisai Stakes and a promising maiden race winner are both in excellent condition.
- ★Dark Horses to Watch:Keep an eye on potential upsetters like Femme Marquise, who showed exceptional sharpness on the training track, and Bere Basque, whose movement was more impressive than the clock suggested.
【S-Rank】Top Evaluation: The One to Watch in Perfect Condition
Among this race’s entrants, one horse stands out with a workout performance that is simply in a class of its own, earning our highest “S” rating. Her time, movement, and stable comments have all reached a peak level.
Festival Hill
In her final workout on October 29th at the Ritto Training Center’s woodchip course, she clocked a phenomenal time, running 6 furlongs in 83.7 seconds with a final furlong of 11.3 seconds. This rating isn’t just based on the fast time. She demonstrated overwhelming power by chasing a 2-win class older horse from 5 lengths behind, effortlessly breezing past to finish 6 lengths ahead.
Trainer Shii also acknowledged her significant physical and mental growth since her last race, commenting, “She seems to have grown bigger. She’s showing more composure both physically and mentally.” The quantitative data (time), qualitative observation (fluid movement), and insider testimony all align perfectly on one point: she is in “peak condition.” Our confidence in her form is unshakable.
【A-Rank】Excellent Form: Strong Contenders Aiming for the Top
While they may be a step behind the S-Rank horse, these contenders have shown excellent preparation and are fully expected to perform well. Here are the ones to watch from both the proven performers and the up-and-comers.
Meisho Hakkei (Proven Performer)
On October 29th at the Ritto woodchip course, she posted a strong time of 83.2 seconds for 6 furlongs, with a final furlong of 11.6 seconds. True to her evaluation of “consistently high-level,” her strength lies in her ability to always perform at a high standard. Jockey Yutaka Take offered his highest praise, saying, “Her spirit and body are both in great shape.” She is in perfect condition to avenge her last race.
Black Chalice (Proven Performer)
With jockey Shun Hamanaka aboard, she recorded a sharp time of 51.4 seconds for 4 furlongs with a final furlong of 11.5 seconds at the Ritto woodchip course on October 29th. The workout focused more on her finishing kick than the overall time, indicating she is ready for a speed duel. Her record as the runner-up in the Hakodate Nisai Stakes (G3) is second to none in this field, and this workout proves she has maintained that ability.
Shiranui (Up-and-Comer)
On October 29th at the Ritto training track, she clocked 54.2 seconds for 4 furlongs with a final furlong of 12.1 seconds. When pushed, she responded powerfully, showing mature strength and a competitive spirit by pulling away from an older, higher-class horse by 0.5 seconds. She fits the profile of “a horse coming off a maiden win,” a pattern that has a 311% return on investment over the past 10 years, adding a compelling data-backed angle.
Femme Marquise (Up-and-Comer)
While her overall time on the Ritto training track on October 29th was average, she recorded an exceptionally sharp final furlong of 11.8 seconds. Notably, she achieved this while being held back, with plenty of energy to spare. This suggests she possesses untapped speed, and if she can unleash that sharpness in the race, she could be a game-changer.
【B-Rank】Dark Horses Showing Notable Movement
They may not be the top favorites, but these horses have shown flashes of brilliance in their workouts and have the potential to cause an upset.
Bere Basque
On October 29th at the Miho woodchip course, she recorded 70.3 seconds for 5 furlongs with a final furlong of 11.3 seconds. Described as “moving better than her time suggests,” the beauty of her form stood out more than the numbers. The stable has been consistently positive in their comments, making her a mysterious and intriguing presence.
Maple Happy
She recorded a blistering final furlong of 11.7 seconds on the Ritto training track on October 29th while being held back. This indicates she possesses a rare turn of foot. She appears to be building on the momentum from her decisive win in her last maiden race, making her one to watch.
Fantasy S 2025 Workout Evaluation Summary
The analysis so far is summarized in the table below. Use it to compare the final condition of each horse and build your betting strategy.
| Horse Name | Overall Rating | Final Workout Brief | Special Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Festival Hill | S | Excellent despite a break | Dominant in partnered work. Significant physical/mental growth. Highest stable expectations. |
| Meisho Hakkei | A+ | Consistently high-level | Sharp finishing kick. Jockey Yutaka Take praises her “peak physical and mental form.” Fully prepared. |
| Black Chalice | A | Good condition | Hakodate Nisai S runner-up has trained smoothly. Powerful movement on the woodchip course. |
| Shiranui | A | Good body and movement | Carries momentum from maiden win, overpowering a higher-class horse. Data trends are favorable. |
| Femme Marquise | A- | Notably sharp movement | Exceptional finishing kick on the training track. Clocking an 11-second furlong while held back is a sign of talent. |
| Bere Basque | B+ | Movement better than time | Excellent form that looks better than the clock suggests. Consistently high praise from the stable. A dark horse. |
| Maple Happy | B | Consistently high-level | Recorded a blistering 11.7s furlong on the training track. Maintains momentum from last win. |
| Shonan Calice | C | Disappointing when pushed | Fell behind in partnered work and responded sluggishly. Questions about her current condition. |
This table includes not only the horses in top form but also those judged to be out of form, allowing for objective comparison.
Check Professional Forecasts for the Final Conclusion
This workout analysis confirms that many horses, led by the S-Ranked Festival Hill, are in excellent condition. However, horse racing predictions require a comprehensive judgment of various factors, including the day’s track conditions, gate positions, and race pace. For a final conclusion that incorporates all these elements, please check the expert forecasts at the link below.See the Expert’s Final Predictions
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